“My conviction is that the mathematical expression of the laws of social dynamics will be similar to the laws of physics. Until then we shall have to cross a road similar to that passed by Galileo in his experiments.”
Raikhlin's 2003 Civil War, Terrorism and Gangs, wherein he outlines his thermodynamics of sociology theory. [1] |
“I am new working successfully on the theme thermodynamics of irreversible processes which I believe describe fully the behavior of society and constitutes the scientific basis for sociology and economics. Entropy and temperature are thermodynamic parameters characterizing society and its behavior and we better get acquainted with them. What I expect? According to the laws of thermodynamics the entropy of society grows constantly and it takes a revolution with repression or war to reverse process. If we take US data for example, since the end of the Civil War until today (with the exception of the Second World War) entropy should be increasing. Since these growth of entropy cannot continue indefinitely, bifurcation sets in, i.e., a kind of civil war, but we cannot predict accurately when this will be. Such an event is dictated by fluctuation. However, another unrest of blacks like the one that shook Los Angeles would become the trigger of such bifurcation and the start of a new civil war in the US.”
“[On social] dynamics, I received a letter from an American physicist. He asked me how I measured cohesion, and I replied honestly that I didn’t know. This stimulating physicist was the first person to whom I communicated my idea of introducing the thermodynamics of irreversible systems in order to describe the behavior of society.”
The circa 2001 online-version contents of the end chapter 15 "Thermodynamics of Social Systems" for Raikhlin's Civil War, Terrorism and Gangs, which seems to highlight that Raikhlin is well-attuned to the difficult "boundary problem" (see: boundary, chimpanzee war) of human thermodynamics. [5] |